Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.981704 1.198998 1.431434 1.696443 1.988195 2.297741 2.649180
2024-10-20 0.652885 0.934669 1.261680 1.660034 2.123822 2.639401 3.248848
2024-10-27 0.559712 0.888109 1.288803 1.795557 2.403300 3.094899 3.928362
2024-11-03 0.480953 0.842891 1.305550 1.910202 2.653588 3.515732 4.570671
2024-11-10 0.422597 0.810818 1.327774 2.022137 2.893028 3.918118 5.187148
2024-11-17 0.375208 0.785017 1.351717 2.131521 3.126426 4.312094 5.794058
2024-11-24 0.315723 0.730952 1.330120 2.176359 3.275486 4.602089 6.276315
2024-12-01 0.255288 0.664467 1.283453 2.182039 3.370675 4.823646 6.674903
2024-12-08 0.188544 0.573565 1.191805 2.119215 3.372066 4.925577 6.925909
2024-12-15 0.135504 0.493554 1.106841 2.057920 3.369423 5.017969 7.161746
2024-12-22 0.098703 0.434317 1.046641 2.025586 3.400260 5.148674 7.441518
2024-12-29 0.079128 0.406760 1.034297 2.060053 3.519084 5.390029 7.857765
2025-01-05 0.056218 0.365119 0.998297 2.063981 3.604985 5.601533 8.253967
2025-01-12 0.035000 0.315909 0.943178 2.035811 3.645609 5.755369 8.580464
2025-01-19 0.033454 0.328794 1.001895 2.183546 3.931743 6.228660 9.309666
2025-01-26 0.030528 0.335586 1.049029 2.313672 4.194219 6.672637 10.004073
2025-02-02 0.027479 0.340572 1.092427 2.438113 4.449304 7.107938 10.688967
2025-02-09 0.024579 0.344839 1.134210 2.560263 4.701855 7.541006 11.372615
2025-02-16 0.017856 0.327457 1.131366 2.610078 4.851231 7.838551 11.884886
2025-02-23 0.010728 0.299062 1.102906 2.616426 4.937212 8.051823 12.289825
2025-03-02 0.003837 0.252915 1.030627 2.546497 4.910168 8.113090 12.499181
2025-03-09 0.000655 0.212023 0.962325 2.478196 4.881855 8.169994 12.700825
2025-03-16 0.000003 0.182868 0.915310 2.442129 4.897644 8.283246 12.972217